![]() ![]() experiencing food and water shortages, but China and india are also vulnerable. ![]() Model simulations suggest that, for every neonatal death, an additional 0.37 children are born, of whom 0.3 survive. I encourage readers to review the complete set of Global Trends 2030. On the Business verticals page (General ledger > Setup > Sales tax > India > Business verticals), create business verticals. We also predict the impact of mortality on total fertility. We find clear evidence of frailty, fecundity, and causal effects of birth spacing on mortality and vice versa, but find that birth interval effects can explain only a limited share of the correlation between neonatal mortality of successive children in a family. Information on sterilization is used to identify an equation for completion of family formation that is needed to account for right-censoring in the data. The model is estimated using micro data on almost 30,000 children of 7,300 Indian mothers, for whom a complete retrospective record of fertility and child mortality is available. A dynamic panel data model of neonatal mortality and birth spacing is analyzed, accounting for causal effects of birth spacing on subsequent mortality and of mortality on the length of the next birth interval, while controlling for unobserved heterogeneity in mortality (frailty) and birth spacing (fecundity). ![]()
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